Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | OU -105 MIZ -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +16 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | OU -2.7 (+13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.9 (-12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -2.3 (+13.7) | 153.5 (-9.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -2.7 (+13.3) | 153.2 (-9.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -3.1 (+12.9) | 155.0 (-11.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -1.5 (+14.5) | 156.0 (-12.0) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | MIZ 88 – 87 OU |
| Mar 6, 2025 | OU 96 – 84 MIZ |
| Feb 13, 2025 | MIZ 82 – 58 OU |
| Mar 20, 2021 | OU 72 – 68 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-16 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 15-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 79.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#54) | 11.2 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#67) | 2.35 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#60) | 2.79 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#141) | 0.575 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 35.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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