Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | MASS -130 OHIO +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +12 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -4.9 (+7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.0 (+14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -3.7 (+8.3) | 154.6 (+21.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -4.5 (+7.5) | 154.0 (+22.0) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -4.3 (+7.7) | 155.1 (+20.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -3.9 (+8.1) | 156.4 (+19.6) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 6, 2026 | OHIO 86 – 83 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-5 | 10-6 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 80.0 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#188) | -3.5 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#211) | -0.26 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#203) | -0.41 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#213) | 0.511 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.4% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.