Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | OHIO -192 MASS +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +3 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -2.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.5 (+9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -1.3 (+1.7) | 153.1 (+15.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -2.6 (+0.4) | 148.3 (+20.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -1.7 (+1.3) | 150.0 (+19.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -2.2 (+0.8) | 154.2 (+14.8) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | MASS 94 – 82 OHIO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-6 | 11-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 79.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.0 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#198) | -0.5 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#145) | -0.22 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#151) | -0.24 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#115) | 0.473 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 34.7% |
Game Analysis
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