Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | ASU +215 KU -265 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +10 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | KU -7.6 (+17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (-20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -4.7 (+14.7) | 143.8 (-13.8) | 29% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -3.3 (+13.3) | 146.0 (-16.0) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -5.2 (+15.2) | 146.2 (-16.2) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KU -4.7 (+14.7) | 143.2 (-13.2) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2025 | KU 74 – 55 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.3 | 69.1 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#74) | 18.9 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.73 (#58) | 3.58 (#11) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#61) | 4.20 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#73) | 0.644 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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