I'm so tired of being lonely, I still have some love to give. "Handle With Care" - The Travelling WIlburys
← All models

Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
37–17 on winners spread MAE 8.6 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Southern Illinois @ Illinois State -5.2 127.6 32% 71–64 ✓
Nevada @ Fresno State -11.2 139.6 15% 72–57 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Elon +8.4 165.2 78% 59–77 ✓
Furman @ Chattanooga +1.0 162.8 54% 58–73 ✓
Northwestern State @ Lamar +18.9 160.1 96% 70–90 ✓
North Florida @ Florida Gulf Coast +7.1 139.9 74% 78–58 ✗
Austin Peay @ Eastern Kentucky +0.1 137.1 50% 59–69 ✓
UC Riverside @ Long Beach State +11.1 153.8 84% 75–83 ✓
Alabama State @ Mississippi Valley State -16.6 132.0 7% 54–51 ✓
Utah @ Arizona +15.4 165.9 92% 73–92 ✓
Texas Tech @ Texas +3.2 139.7 62% 78–67 ✗
Colorado @ Arizona State -3.7 144.3 37% 73–76 ✗
Valparaiso @ UIC +15.6 129.5 92% 64–70 ✓
Ohio State @ Indiana -5.8 147.4 30% 65–71 ✗
Pacific @ Portland +13.4 146.5 89% 64–78 ✓
Omaha @ Idaho State +1.1 137.6 54% 62–63 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Louisiana +13.0 147.5 88% 77–85 ✓
Portland State @ Kansas City -1.9 141.7 43% 67–83 ✗
Denver @ Northern Colorado -0.3 181.3 49% 82–86 ✗
Weber State @ Oral Roberts -3.9 144.0 36% 83–78 ✓
Sacramento State @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +15.8 128.3 92% 50–63 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Northridge +5.2 144.8 68% 66–76 ✓
Central Arkansas @ North Alabama +13.7 153.5 89% 84–81 ✗
LSU @ Texas A&M +13.8 146.6 90% 68–53 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Southern Indiana +5.9 134.8 70% 73–59 ✗
Colorado State @ Utah State +2.2 149.5 58% 72–77 ✓
San Diego @ Gonzaga +18.3 148.4 95% 74–101 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Loyola Marymount -7.0 127.7 26% 68–64 ✓
South Dakota @ Montana +15.5 156.4 92% 63–82 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Utah Tech -10.9 151.4 16% 75–65 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Fullerton -1.1 131.1 46% 76–58 ✓
Cincinnati @ BYU +15.9 154.1 93% 71–60 ✗
Oregon @ Washington State +4.5 140.3 66% 89–84 ✗
California @ UCLA +7.7 138.8 76% 66–57 ✗
Wyoming @ New Mexico +19.0 153.3 96% 60–77 ✓
Santa Clara @ Pepperdine -1.7 145.0 44% 78–72 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal Poly -2.8 145.5 40% 61–52 ✓
Michigan @ Penn State -4.2 161.3 35% 73–79 ✗
Wichita State @ Temple -0.5 150.1 48% 61–68 ✗
Massachusetts @ Dayton +9.7 152.7 81% 60–64 ✓
Niagara @ Iona +11.8 147.4 86% 75–73 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Youngstown State +24.4 143.9 99% 65–75 ✓
Manhattan @ Quinnipiac +13.2 149.1 89% 59–76 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Saint Peter's +5.7 128.9 70% 64–70 ✓
Marist @ Fairfield +2.5 132.6 59% 61–82 ✓
Canisius @ Rider -4.1 148.7 35% 76–79 ✗
South Florida @ UAB +0.3 150.4 51% 71–75 ✓
Tulsa @ East Carolina +1.5 140.0 55% 57–62 ✓
Indiana State @ Northern Iowa -3.5 161.6 37% 77–66 ✓
Drake @ Belmont -2.4 159.4 41% 65–87 ✗
Chicago State @ UTEP +7.5 127.2 75% 69–74 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Cleveland State +6.5 145.9 72% 85–88 ✓
SMU @ Memphis +1.4 146.9 55% 59–62 ✓
Maryland @ Minnesota +6.4 134.4 72% 62–65 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.