All my failings exposed, gets a taste in my mouth as desperation takes hold "Love Will Tear Us Apart" - Joy Division
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–16 on winners spread MAE 9.4 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
TCU @ Texas Tech +11.2 152.4 85% 73–65 ✗
Wake Forest @ Virginia +11.4 152.6 87% 70–75 ✓
Clemson @ North Carolina +6.3 142.7 76% 63–67 ✓
Georgetown @ St. John's +14.6 145.1 88% 69–72 ✓
Toledo @ Miami (OH) +10.1 160.0 84% 72–74 ✓
George Mason @ VCU +10.6 143.9 85% 65–70 ✓
Dayton @ Richmond -2.6 145.2 32% 65–60 ✓
Oklahoma State @ UCF +6.9 161.2 76% 111–104 ✗
Seton Hall @ Xavier +0.5 142.9 49% 77–68 ✗
Ohio @ Massachusetts +3.7 154.6 66% 82–94 ✓
Ball State @ Western Michigan +3.2 136.1 63% 74–71 ✗
Akron @ Central Michigan -11.2 156.6 16% 77–64 ✓
UAlbany @ Vermont +7.4 138.7 80% 56–69 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Elon -4.1 143.9 34% 76–57 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Campbell +6.4 148.6 80% 72–90 ✓
Hampton @ William & Mary +8.7 148.8 84% 85–94 ✓
Drexel @ Hofstra +9.4 134.7 83% 51–62 ✓
Monmouth @ Northeastern -1.8 147.2 44% 89–83 ✓
Missouri @ Oklahoma +2.3 153.5 59% 64–80 ✓
Kentucky @ Texas A&M +1.2 159.9 48% 85–96 ✓
Holy Cross @ Lafayette +2.6 140.1 67% 82–77 ✗
Army @ Bucknell +2.4 146.4 62% 55–65 ✓
Mississippi State @ Florida +17.5 158.5 90% 74–108 ✓
West Virginia @ Kansas State -0.8 140.6 41% 63–65 ✗
Kent State @ Northern Illinois -8.3 150.1 20% 102–76 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Green Bay +3.6 145.9 65% 56–64 ✓
UL Monroe @ Old Dominion +10.7 155.6 85% 80–87 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Jackson State -0.1 150.7 56% 78–81 ✗
BYU @ Cincinnati -0.3 148.3 57% 68–90 ✗
Southern @ Alabama State +0.6 150.1 54% 71–64 ✗
Kansas @ Arizona State -3.3 146.0 32% 60–70 ✗
Oregon @ Illinois +16.2 150.2 90% 54–80 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Ole Miss -6.6 155.1 25% 89–86 ✓
Syracuse @ Louisville +14.9 161.7 88% 62–77 ✓
San José State @ Fresno State +6.5 144.1 76% 68–82 ✓
Colorado @ Utah +0.3 148.3 51% 92–78 ✗
San Diego State @ Boise State +3.4 147.9 68% 77–86 ✓
Boston College @ Virginia Tech +9.7 145.4 85% 63–72 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Air Force -16.1 140.6 12% 86–60 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Alcorn State +9.6 139.0 86% 64–67 ✓
Grambling @ Alabama A&M +0.9 136.5 61% 63–77 ✓
Nevada @ Wyoming +0.3 141.0 53% 73–83 ✓
LSU @ Auburn +6.4 158.7 78% 74–88 ✓
Nebraska @ UCLA -0.6 144.5 51% 52–72 ✗
Utah State @ UNLV -7.5 156.8 23% 65–92 ✗
Jacksonville @ Bellarmine +0.1 142.6 47% 79–82 ✓
North Alabama @ Florida Gulf Coast +5.7 141.1 74% 58–69 ✓
Stetson @ Eastern Kentucky +3.7 151.4 68% 92–76 ✗
Creighton @ Butler +3.7 152.1 66% 76–59 ✗
Louisiana @ James Madison +8.0 130.8 78% 72–87 ✓
Fordham @ La Salle -1.2 128.8 41% 84–87 ✗
Minnesota @ Indiana +7.2 137.4 72% 47–77 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.