Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–15 on winners spread MAE 10.5 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Texas @ Arkansas +6.6 164.4 71% 85–105 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ George Washington +8.5 154.7 80% 82–91 ✓
Duquesne @ Rhode Island +3.3 141.0 67% 52–64 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Davidson +3.7 134.2 64% 70–67 ✗
UAB @ Charlotte -0.3 144.3 41% 80–74 ✓
Marquette @ Providence +6.2 164.1 68% 78–56 ✗
Miami @ SMU +2.2 155.8 61% 77–69 ✗
California @ Georgia Tech -4.4 152.0 32% 76–65 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ SIU Edwardsville +5.1 128.5 69% 77–71 ✗
Stonehill @ Le Moyne +4.4 138.3 71% 81–71 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Mercyhurst +5.4 132.2 67% 61–70 ✓
Wagner @ Central Connecticut +4.5 138.0 71% 70–60 ✗
Chicago State @ Long Island University +11.6 138.6 86% 75–79 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Oakland +3.3 159.9 68% 85–84 ✗
Milwaukee @ Detroit Mercy +1.8 152.0 63% 63–84 ✓
Youngstown State @ Robert Morris +6.7 144.4 77% 53–68 ✓
Cleveland State @ Wright State +10.5 161.4 86% 61–90 ✓
Ohio State @ Penn State -6.6 146.3 24% 94–62 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ South Carolina Upstate +9.2 144.2 85% 65–64 ✗
North Florida @ West Georgia +4.9 159.8 65% 85–93 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Saint Louis +19.4 149.6 90% 65–79 ✓
Maryland @ Wisconsin +13.1 155.6 84% 45–78 ✓
Rice @ North Texas +8.5 137.0 80% 58–62 ✓
Villanova @ DePaul -3.4 137.4 44% 76–57 ✓
Kansas City @ Oral Roberts +7.2 147.0 84% 62–84 ✓
Purdue @ Northwestern -6.7 141.7 19% 70–66 ✓
Old Dominion @ Georgia Southern +0.6 156.3 49% 84–88 ✓
Baylor @ Houston +12.9 144.2 86% 64–77 ✓
Florida State @ Pittsburgh +1.1 147.5 59% 75–74 ✗
Stanford @ Notre Dame +1.3 147.2 58% 86–78 ✗
Little Rock @ Lindenwood +2.0 143.0 61% 62–72 ✓
Colorado State @ New Mexico +9.6 144.5 78% 82–74 ✗
USC @ Washington +5.0 148.8 73% 72–91 ✓
Drake @ Southern Illinois +3.9 138.1 72% 67–63 ✗
South Carolina State @ North Carolina Central +4.0 141.1 73% 80–64 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Iona +2.9 149.7 66% 91–80 ✗
James Madison @ Southern Miss -1.9 141.5 44% 80–86 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.