Betting Lines
| Spread | CAL -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | GT +124 CAL -148 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAL +11 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | CAL -5.3 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (-11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAL -4.4 (-6.6) | 152.0 (-11.0) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAL -5.4 (-5.6) | 149.5 (-8.5) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAL -5.4 (-5.6) | 150.1 (-9.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAL -5.5 (-5.5) | 150.7 (-9.7) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | CAL 90 – 85 GT |
| Feb 15, 2025 | GT 90 – 88 CAL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-9 | 17-5 |
| Away | 1-9 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#151) | 9.1 (#64) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#191) | 1.97 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#189) | 2.23 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#244) | 0.561 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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