Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | GT -155 CAL +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +2 | 178 | Won |
| Massey | GT -4.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (+28.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GT -1.7 (+0.3) | 145.8 (+32.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GT -3.7 (-1.7) | 144.6 (+33.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GT -4.0 (-2.0) | 143.1 (+34.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -3.6 (-1.6) | 145.5 (+32.5) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | CAL 76 – 65 GT |
| Feb 5, 2026 | CAL 90 – 85 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 6-14 |
| Home | 14-6 | 11-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#107) | 3.1 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#135) | 0.43 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#134) | 0.58 (#132) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#206) | 0.505 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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