Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | IONA -170 SHU +142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +11 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -3.7 (-14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.0 (+14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -2.9 (-13.9) | 149.7 (+21.3) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -3.3 (-14.3) | 143.6 (+27.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -3.4 (-14.4) | 143.6 (+27.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -3.1 (-14.1) | 145.1 (+25.9) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | IONA 81 – 69 SHU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | IONA 90 – 88 SHU |
| Dec 7, 2024 | SHU 83 – 59 IONA |
| Nov 11, 2023 | IONA 88 – 81 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-8 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#239) | -8.3 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#214) | -1.20 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#218) | -1.45 (#276) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#164) | 0.468 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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