I have got the sharpest knife, so I get the biggest slice. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–18 on winners spread MAE 9.1 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Vanderbilt @ Kentucky +9.4 160.0 81% 61–82 ✓
Winthrop @ Presbyterian +0.3 151.0 49% 81–77 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ Longwood +4.5 148.3 78% 77–90 ✓
Charleston Southern @ High Point +14.9 150.2 88% 60–83 ✓
Cincinnati @ West Virginia +2.3 131.4 65% 59–62 ✓
SMU @ Notre Dame -3.7 145.3 36% 97–73 ✓
NC State @ North Carolina +10.8 146.3 85% 73–97 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ George Washington +0.4 137.8 57% 79–68 ✗
Fordham @ Duquesne +7.6 141.4 77% 64–73 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Murray State +3.2 137.5 66% 60–62 ✓
Evansville @ Indiana State +7.7 148.1 74% 79–74 ✗
Navy @ Colgate +5.8 138.4 73% 75–79 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Boston University +3.6 132.0 71% 66–68 ✓
Providence @ Georgetown +1.2 139.5 63% 72–93 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Detroit Mercy +2.3 145.7 59% 80–71 ✗
Western Carolina @ Chattanooga +13.1 157.0 88% 86–91 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ East Tennessee State +1.7 129.1 59% 49–65 ✓
Mercer @ The Citadel -6.7 144.3 22% 62–52 ✓
East Carolina @ Tulane +2.3 141.3 67% 81–86 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Belmont +0.7 150.8 51% 82–75 ✗
UIC @ Drake +11.5 130.3 84% 57–74 ✓
Furman @ Samford +7.5 149.5 77% 80–72 ✗
UAB @ Rice -1.4 150.6 36% 90–89 ✓
South Florida @ UTSA +2.2 148.0 64% 78–73 ✗
Tulsa @ North Texas +16.0 126.9 87% 44–63 ✓
Missouri State @ Valparaiso +0.3 138.3 53% 64–66 ✓
Bradley @ Illinois State -1.1 143.5 46% 71–82 ✗
South Alabama @ Arkansas State +8.4 142.9 81% 60–56 ✗
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ South Dakota -2.8 167.0 54% 80–85 ✗
North Dakota State @ South Dakota State +5.8 153.5 75% 77–68 ✗
Omaha @ Kansas City +1.0 141.8 57% 78–66 ✗
Oregon @ Iowa +1.1 158.5 48% 80–78 ✗
UL Monroe @ Texas State +10.7 142.6 83% 63–80 ✓
Arkansas @ Auburn +14.8 150.7 88% 60–67 ✓
Alabama @ Missouri -0.2 175.7 54% 98–110 ✗
St. John's @ DePaul -11.8 140.7 15% 82–58 ✓
UCF @ Oklahoma State +0.4 157.1 62% 95–104 ✓
Miami @ Florida State +9.4 148.5 83% 66–74 ✓
Gonzaga @ Washington State -10.4 159.1 17% 84–63 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Denver +2.8 145.9 68% 60–71 ✓
San José State @ Utah State +15.8 150.4 88% 57–105 ✓
New Mexico @ Boise State +2.6 146.5 63% 78–86 ✓
Portland @ Saint Mary's +23.5 136.7 90% 66–79 ✓
Rutgers @ Washington +1.7 147.4 59% 89–85 ✗
Marshall @ Old Dominion -3.2 144.9 34% 81–77 ✓
UMBC @ UMass Lowell +5.6 157.7 74% 79–98 ✓
New Hampshire @ Binghamton +6.7 139.7 81% 60–79 ✓
Northwestern @ Ohio State +9.1 145.1 78% 70–49 ✗
Maine @ UAlbany -0.3 136.6 55% 68–79 ✗
Georgia Southern @ App State +10.9 138.0 84% 74–79 ✓
Drexel @ Delaware -0.6 144.2 53% 78–74 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Bellarmine -8.7 156.1 29% 74–80 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.