We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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21–23 on winners spread MAE 10.0 44 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UNC Asheville @ Radford +2.2 147.2 61% 53–77 ✓
Stonehill @ Wagner -0.8 120.2 48% 57–63 ✗
Saint Francis @ Le Moyne +0.5 149.7 56% 81–76 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Mercyhurst +0.4 140.5 59% 60–65 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Chicago State -10.7 139.0 15% 81–75 ✓
Bryant @ Vermont -1.2 139.1 48% 55–59 ✗
Georgia State @ James Madison +11.6 146.3 85% 63–83 ✓
Louisiana @ Troy +13.6 134.1 85% 72–69 ✗
Charleston @ Northeastern +0.4 146.1 49% 73–62 ✗
Campbell @ North Carolina A&T -6.6 139.2 30% 50–53 ✗
Towson @ Elon -0.2 133.7 49% 63–69 ✗
Monmouth @ Hofstra +5.4 133.9 72% 68–62 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Stetson -10.8 141.9 19% 83–80 ✓
Austin Peay @ Queens University +5.9 148.0 74% 92–78 ✗
UTEP @ Kennesaw State +3.3 144.3 65% 73–83 ✓
New Mexico State @ Jacksonville State +4.9 132.8 68% 61–52 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Morehead State -1.8 134.1 40% 80–62 ✓
Central Arkansas @ West Georgia +4.1 145.5 67% 82–71 ✗
Idaho @ Northern Arizona +3.2 142.4 66% 83–78 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado +6.5 150.9 78% 76–95 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Southern Miss +4.7 138.2 72% 87–78 ✗
North Alabama @ Lipscomb +5.7 146.9 75% 63–75 ✓
Jacksonville @ North Florida -0.6 154.7 47% 73–77 ✗
Southern Utah @ Abilene Christian +4.5 139.0 72% 59–75 ✓
Lindenwood @ Little Rock +9.7 134.2 82% 93–92 ✗
USC @ Maryland +11.4 152.0 86% 71–88 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee Tech +1.0 144.9 55% 66–71 ✓
Western Illinois @ Southeast Missouri State +10.0 142.4 85% 66–87 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Southern Indiana +2.3 135.4 61% 63–54 ✗
Wichita State @ Florida Atlantic +7.3 155.0 72% 75–68 ✗
Sacramento State @ Weber State +6.7 133.3 71% 80–77 ✗
Portland State @ Idaho State +0.7 139.3 55% 74–82 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Davis +2.0 134.2 59% 71–66 ✗
Utah Valley @ Utah Tech -7.8 143.9 24% 79–77 ✓
Sam Houston @ Western Kentucky +4.8 155.7 70% 78–62 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee +3.1 136.4 66% 85–74 ✗
UC San Diego @ Cal Poly -11.7 153.9 14% 81–67 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Irvine +8.3 149.2 78% 84–72 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Santa Barbara +13.2 140.1 87% 56–86 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Riverside +10.1 141.4 86% 66–87 ✓
Pacific @ San Francisco +17.5 143.5 90% 58–71 ✓
Oregon State @ Pepperdine -8.7 142.2 23% 84–78 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Santa Clara +13.5 145.3 87% 61–76 ✓
Bowling Green @ Toledo +8.1 150.9 76% 69–68 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.