Betting Lines
| Spread | ORST -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | PEPP +260 ORST -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORST +6 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | ORST -8.8 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (+15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORST -8.1 (+2.1) | 146.0 (+16.0) | 25% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ORST -8.7 (+2.7) | 142.2 (+19.8) | 23% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | ORST -7.4 (+1.4) | 146.6 (+15.4) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORST -7.8 (+1.8) | 147.1 (+14.9) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | ORST 83 – 73 PEPP |
| Mar 9, 2025 | PEPP 77 – 73 ORST |
| Jan 24, 2025 | ORST 83 – 63 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-22 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-9 | 15-3 |
| Away | 2-11 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.2 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#231) | 8.0 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#283) | 1.13 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#261) | 1.47 (#78) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#284) | 0.533 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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