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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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27–8 on winners spread MAE 9.8 35 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Oklahoma @ Florida +13.9 155.2 88% 63–85 ✓
Texas A&M @ Mississippi State +2.2 135.7 61% 54–70 ✓
Purdue @ Michigan State +4.3 142.7 72% 66–75 ✓
Syracuse @ Pittsburgh +11.4 149.4 86% 69–80 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Davidson +2.5 137.1 62% 77–69 ✗
North Florida @ Stetson -5.2 162.7 36% 79–71 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Queens University +10.9 151.3 87% 72–89 ✓
West Georgia @ North Alabama +14.3 148.4 87% 62–80 ✓
Lipscomb @ Eastern Kentucky -1.4 149.2 44% 57–66 ✗
Western Michigan @ Buffalo -1.9 149.4 36% 97–64 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Akron +19.6 159.0 90% 63–73 ✓
Kent State @ Bowling Green -5.9 140.6 25% 91–84 ✓
Central Michigan @ Ohio +4.7 150.0 73% 82–84 ✓
Ball State @ Toledo +6.9 152.6 76% 66–67 ✓
Colorado @ Iowa State +14.7 139.6 89% 65–79 ✓
Texas Tech @ TCU -6.1 138.7 37% 66–69 ✗
Butler @ Xavier +6.5 149.5 77% 63–76 ✓
Illinois @ Wisconsin +4.0 163.6 67% 74–95 ✓
Air Force @ Wyoming +9.2 129.5 82% 62–69 ✓
Tennessee State @ UT Martin +1.2 150.1 62% 86–75 ✗
Houston @ Arizona State -12.9 133.5 12% 80–65 ✓
Seton Hall @ Marquette +15.9 130.6 90% 56–80 ✓
Kansas @ BYU +2.4 142.8 75% 57–91 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Boston College -0.3 140.1 46% 36–54 ✗
Nevada @ Colorado State +4.4 137.0 70% 71–79 ✓
South Carolina @ LSU +5.0 141.5 74% 67–81 ✓
Minnesota @ UCLA +11.7 131.1 85% 64–61 ✗
Fresno State @ San Diego State +18.3 141.6 90% 60–83 ✓
Temple @ Charlotte -2.1 152.1 58% 72–78 ✗
Massachusetts @ VCU +14.7 147.5 88% 51–80 ✓
American University @ Army +0.8 140.4 54% 69–76 ✓
Lafayette @ Holy Cross +1.3 135.4 60% 69–74 ✓
Wofford @ VMI -4.1 141.7 32% 82–43 ✓
Richmond @ La Salle +3.3 139.6 66% 63–58 ✗
Nebraska @ Penn State +1.2 146.4 55% 72–89 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.