Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | ASU +700 HOU -1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +15 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | HOU -12.1 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (+11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -10.1 (-4.9) | 133.0 (+12.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | HOU -12.9 (-2.1) | 133.5 (+11.5) | 12% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | HOU -10.2 (-4.8) | 134.4 (+10.6) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -9.7 (-5.3) | 134.5 (+10.5) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | HOU 103 – 73 ASU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 35-5 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 19-1 |
| Home | 5-9 | 16-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 10-0 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 9-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 58.6 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#61) | 24.7 (#3) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#73) | 3.49 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#71) | 4.64 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#79) | 0.641 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 39.1% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 37.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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