Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | AKR -5000 NIU +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +10 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -23.3 (-13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.8 (-22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -18.8 (-8.8) | 158.3 (-22.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -19.6 (-9.6) | 159.0 (-23.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -17.0 (-7.0) | 153.1 (-17.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -20.1 (-10.1) | 156.2 (-20.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | AKR 94 – 55 NIU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | AKR 80 – 70 NIU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | AKR 80 – 73 NIU |
| Jan 3, 2024 | AKR 73 – 51 NIU |
| Jan 4, 2023 | AKR 76 – 51 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 2-16 |
| Home | 16-0 | 5-10 |
| Away | 8-4 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.4 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 79.5 |
| Massey | 5.2 (#97) | -14.9 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#79) | -2.99 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#86) | -3.36 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#43) | 0.366 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 17.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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