Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | CLT +105 TEM -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +6 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -3.1 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -1.5 (+7.5) | 151.0 (-1.0) | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -2.1 (+8.1) | 152.1 (-2.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -1.6 (+7.6) | 152.5 (-2.5) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -2.5 (+8.5) | 152.3 (-2.3) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | CLT 80 – 76 TEM |
| Dec 31, 2025 | TEM 76 – 73 CLT |
| Jan 30, 2025 | TEM 90 – 89 CLT |
| Mar 16, 2024 | TEM 58 – 54 CLT |
| Feb 11, 2024 | CLT 73 – 70 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-8 | 12-2 |
| Away | 1-12 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#259) | 0.6 (#148) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#272) | 0.05 (#163) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#264) | 0.04 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#293) | 0.498 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 32.5% | 32.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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