Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
| Money | CLT -267 TEM +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +4 | 112 | Lost |
| Massey | CLT -5.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (-19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -5.7 (-9.7) | 133.6 (-21.6) | 68% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | CLT -5.3 (-9.3) | 129.4 (-17.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | CLT -5.8 (-9.8) | 131.7 (-19.7) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -6.3 (-10.3) | 133.2 (-21.2) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | CLT 80 – 76 TEM |
| Dec 31, 2025 | TEM 76 – 73 CLT |
| Feb 19, 2025 | CLT 78 – 72 TEM |
| Jan 30, 2025 | TEM 90 – 89 CLT |
| Feb 11, 2024 | CLT 73 – 70 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-2 | 5-9 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#110) | -1.9 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#103) | -0.42 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#111) | -0.53 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#67) | 0.481 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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