Betting Lines
| Spread | CLT -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | TEM +210 CLT -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +3 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | CLT -5.4 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (+8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLT -5.7 (+2.7) | 135.1 (+7.9) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLT -4.9 (+1.9) | 137.0 (+6.0) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLT -5.1 (+2.1) | 134.6 (+8.4) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLT -5.5 (+2.5) | 136.3 (+6.7) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | CLT 80 – 76 TEM |
| Dec 31, 2025 | TEM 76 – 73 CLT |
| Feb 19, 2025 | CLT 78 – 72 TEM |
| Jan 30, 2025 | TEM 90 – 89 CLT |
| Mar 16, 2024 | TEM 58 – 54 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-20 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 13-5 |
| Home | 5-9 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#229) | 5.4 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#270) | 1.05 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#282) | 1.20 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#253) | 0.573 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.5% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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