Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | TEM -192 CLT +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +4 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | TEM -4.2 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -2.7 (-6.7) | 137.7 (+18.3) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -2.9 (-6.9) | 139.6 (+16.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -3.8 (-7.8) | 138.6 (+17.4) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -2.7 (-6.7) | 139.0 (+17.0) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | TEM 76 – 73 CLT |
| Feb 19, 2025 | CLT 78 – 72 TEM |
| Jan 30, 2025 | TEM 90 – 89 CLT |
| Mar 16, 2024 | TEM 58 – 54 CLT |
| Feb 11, 2024 | CLT 73 – 70 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-6 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#162) | -0.6 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#137) | -0.16 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#135) | -0.27 (#193) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#152) | 0.495 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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