Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | TEM -500 CLT +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +1 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -10.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+29.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -8.7 (-7.7) | 144.9 (+34.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -7.8 (-6.8) | 144.8 (+34.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -8.9 (-7.9) | 145.9 (+33.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -9.2 (-8.2) | 144.9 (+34.1) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | CLT 80 – 76 TEM |
| Dec 31, 2025 | TEM 76 – 73 CLT |
| Feb 19, 2025 | CLT 78 – 72 TEM |
| Mar 16, 2024 | TEM 58 – 54 CLT |
| Feb 11, 2024 | CLT 73 – 70 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 3-15 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-8 |
| Away | 3-9 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#122) | -5.2 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#127) | -1.05 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#134) | -1.23 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#99) | 0.448 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 32.1% | 34.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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