Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | BYU -150 KU +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +34 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | KU -0.4 (+34.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -2.4 (+31.6) | 142.8 (+5.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -1.4 (+32.6) | 143.3 (+4.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -1.0 (+33.0) | 143.3 (+4.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -1.8 (+32.2) | 144.8 (+3.2) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | KU 90 – 82 BYU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | BYU 76 – 68 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 14.6 (#31) | 18.1 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#51) | 2.58 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.44 (#49) | 3.29 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#76) | 0.620 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 44.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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