We're only making plans for Nigel. "Making Plans for Nigel" - XTC
West Coast Conference · Beasley Coliseum · February 20, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread GONZ -11.5 Away covered
O/U 166.5 Under
Money WSU +550 / GONZ -900
Model Predictions
Spread Total WSU win
Actual GONZ +21 147 Lost
Massey GONZ -12.7 (-8.3)
Massey Totals 165.2 (-18.2)
Bradley-Terry 40%
Weighted B-T 35%
Baseline Plus ML GONZ -14.4 (-6.6) 155.7 (-8.7) 13%
Model 4 ML GONZ -10.4 (-10.6) 159.1 (-12.1) 17%
Model 3 ML GONZ -11.9 (-9.1) 157.2 (-10.2) 19%
Baseline ML GONZ -12.9 (-8.1) 158.0 (-11.0) 15%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 11, 2026 GONZ 8353 WSU
Jan 16, 2026 GONZ 8665 WSU
Jan 12, 2025 GONZ 8875 WSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WSU GONZ
Overall 19-15 26-9
Conference 8-10 14-4
Home 10-4 13-2
Away 5-7 7-2
Neutral 4-4 6-5
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 78.9 86.4
Avg Pts Against 78.6 69.9
Massey 4.6 (#100) 20.6 (#7)
Bradley-Terry 1.02 (#87) 1.99 (#49)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.54 (#79) 2.83 (#42)
RPI 0.545 (#96) 0.590 (#39)
Shooting & Four Factors WSU GONZ
FG% 48.9% 49.9%
3PT% 35.9% 35.1%
REB / G 34.3 39.9
OREB / G 10.0 11.9
AST / TO 1.11 2.09
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.4% 55.9%
TOV% 20.8% 13.4%
ORB% 32.0% 34.0%
FT Rate 23.2% 24.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.7% 47.3%
Opp TOV% 17.2% 17.8%
DRB% 67.8% 74.5%
Opp FT Rate 23.2% 21.1%

Game Analysis

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