Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
West Coast Conference · McCarthey Athletic Center · February 11, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread GONZ -21.5 Home covered
O/U 156.5 Under
Money GONZ -3200 / WSU +1400
Model Predictions
Spread Total GONZ win
Actual GONZ +30 136 Won
Massey GONZ -22.8 (+7.2)
Massey Totals 157.8 (-21.8)
Bradley-Terry 99%
Weighted B-T 99%
Baseline Plus ML GONZ -19.3 (+10.7) 152.9 (-16.9) 91%
Model 4 ML GONZ -17.1 (+12.9) 151.0 (-15.0) 90%
Model 3 ML GONZ -18.3 (+11.7) 153.1 (-17.1) 91%
Baseline ML GONZ -19.1 (+10.9) 153.6 (-17.6) 91%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 16, 2026 GONZ 8665 WSU
Feb 20, 2025 GONZ 8463 WSU
Jan 12, 2025 GONZ 8875 WSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GONZ WSU
Overall 31-4 12-20
Conference 16-2 7-11
Home 15-0 9-6
Away 8-2 2-11
Neutral 8-2 1-3
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 84.3 75.6
Avg Pts Against 66.2 77.3
Massey 22.7 (#7) 2.9 (#122)
Bradley-Terry 3.84 (#11) 0.00 (#162)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.90 (#10) 0.27 (#143)
RPI 0.628 (#22) 0.492 (#204)
Shooting & Four Factors GONZ WSU
FG% 51.2% 47.2%
3PT% 35.2% 36.9%
REB / G 41.4 34.5
OREB / G 12.7 9.8
AST / TO 1.87 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.5% 55.5%
TOV% 13.8% 18.5%
ORB% 36.2% 30.4%
FT Rate 21.9% 24.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.5% 52.9%
Opp TOV% 20.3% 14.4%
DRB% 75.5% 73.0%
Opp FT Rate 22.7% 25.6%

Game Analysis

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