Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | IOWA +120 ORE -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +2 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | ORE -0.1 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -1.1 (-3.1) | 158.5 (-0.5) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -0.5 (-2.5) | 158.6 (-0.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -0.9 (-2.9) | 158.6 (-0.6) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -0.1 (-2.1) | 160.9 (-2.9) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2026 | IOWA 84 – 66 ORE |
| Mar 22, 2021 | ORE 95 – 80 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 2-8 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.5 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#59) | 13.3 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#64) | 2.67 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.19 (#57) | 3.17 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#114) | 0.617 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.83 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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