The name is Big Daddy, yes big not little. "Ain't No Half Steppin'" - Big Daddy Kane
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–16 on winners spread MAE 9.5 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Washington @ Colorado State +4.6 153.0 71% 81–86 ✓
Austin Peay @ Tennessee State +10.0 137.8 82% 65–69 ✓
Sacramento State @ Long Beach State +11.9 149.0 86% 73–83 ✓
Milwaukee @ Green Bay +9.1 140.9 84% 58–70 ✓
Yale @ Vermont +4.5 137.4 70% 65–66 ✓
Western Carolina @ Gardner-Webb -0.0 137.1 42% 77–82 ✗
UMass Lowell @ Merrimack -1.5 139.7 37% 68–74 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Marshall +5.1 145.7 71% 79–74 ✗
Santa Clara @ California -1.5 145.5 39% 69–84 ✗
George Mason @ Toledo +6.0 145.0 68% 86–77 ✗
Temple @ Saint Joseph's +4.9 145.5 69% 65–74 ✓
Wofford @ Middle Tennessee +5.1 138.5 69% 74–64 ✗
Rhode Island @ Providence +14.0 140.3 87% 69–84 ✓
Tulsa @ Oral Roberts +1.9 142.2 54% 70–79 ✓
Lindenwood @ Idaho State +9.4 131.8 83% 70–76 ✓
Dartmouth @ UAlbany +13.0 139.9 87% 68–73 ✓
UT Arlington @ Grand Canyon +12.1 151.3 87% 69–76 ✓
New Mexico State @ New Mexico +22.8 153.2 91% 62–106 ✓
UC Irvine @ Utah State +6.6 139.5 75% 69–79 ✓
Utah Valley @ Utah Tech +2.9 139.1 67% 53–65 ✓
Gonzaga @ USC -0.7 141.0 44% 89–76 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Nevada +14.9 144.9 88% 59–73 ✓
Brown @ Maine +6.9 138.0 74% 49–60 ✓
Columbia @ New Hampshire +5.4 143.6 70% 71–80 ✓
Siena @ Mount St. Mary's +12.5 131.5 85% 48–80 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Canisius +4.4 134.4 74% 54–52 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Cincinnati +18.7 146.1 90% 62–99 ✓
Tulane @ Fordham +2.7 145.1 56% 89–81 ✗
Auburn @ App State +2.3 141.1 54% 64–69 ✓
Coppin State @ Navy +10.2 125.1 83% 52–75 ✓
Longwood @ Morgan State -8.7 144.1 19% 88–54 ✓
Clemson @ Pittsburgh +4.8 142.9 65% 79–70 ✗
Stetson @ Chicago State -3.8 136.7 27% 54–77 ✗
South Dakota @ Western Illinois -0.8 146.3 43% 70–68 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Niagara +2.0 149.6 57% 75–68 ✗
Manhattan @ Marist +8.5 133.6 85% 56–70 ✓
Fairfield @ Rider +2.7 138.6 60% 88–81 ✗
Elon @ Radford +9.2 146.5 81% 72–82 ✓
Murray State @ Illinois State +4.7 136.4 73% 72–76 ✓
San Francisco @ Arizona State +1.3 132.6 53% 61–72 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Jacksonville State +6.1 129.8 69% 61–59 ✗
East Texas A&M @ SMU +11.3 133.0 85% 47–90 ✓
Wichita State @ Missouri +4.2 141.3 65% 72–82 ✓
Creighton @ Nebraska +1.0 145.9 52% 89–60 ✗
Southern @ Mississippi State +18.4 138.0 91% 60–59 ✗
Louisville @ Virginia Tech +12.0 146.9 87% 68–75 ✓
Air Force @ Portland +2.9 137.2 61% 80–58 ✗
Chattanooga @ Morehead State +5.7 133.0 71% 80–87 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Western Kentucky +10.7 141.4 83% 69–79 ✓
Pepperdine @ Colorado +13.9 151.6 86% 66–91 ✓
Lamar @ Sam Houston +4.5 153.7 69% 70–90 ✓
Minnesota @ Ohio State +12.0 141.9 87% 74–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.