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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–0 on winners
spread MAE 5.8
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
San Diego
@
Stanford
|
+2.6 | 143.0 | 57% | 64–88 | ✓ |
North Dakota
@
UC Riverside
|
+6.2 | 137.3 | 71% | 62–68 | ✓ |
Central Arkansas
@
Hawai'i
|
+17.5 | 146.1 | 91% | 76–95 | ✓ |
Maryland Eastern Shore
@
East Carolina
|
+11.3 | 148.4 | 85% | 52–63 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.