Betting Lines
| Spread | ECU -16.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
| Money | ECU -1600 UMES +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ECU +11 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | ECU -14.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (-38.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ECU -11.4 (-0.4) | 144.4 (-29.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ECU -11.3 (-0.3) | 148.4 (-33.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ECU -11.1 (-0.1) | 149.1 (-34.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ECU -13.0 (-2.0) | 148.4 (-33.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | ECU 68 – 56 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 9-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-10 |
| Home | 11-9 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 62.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#260) | -13.1 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#259) | -1.10 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#239) | -1.56 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#262) | 0.464 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 42.9% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 38.2% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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