This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–11 on winners spread MAE 8.8 51 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Ole Miss @ South Carolina -5.3 135.8 29% 67–61 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Iona +12.9 139.5 86% 54–74 ✓
Texas Tech @ West Virginia +2.5 144.6 61% 62–78 ✓
Boston College @ North Carolina +8.0 137.9 79% 61–85 ✓
Wyoming @ New Mexico +8.7 151.5 81% 76–87 ✓
Lafayette @ Colgate +12.5 139.0 87% 61–79 ✓
La Salle @ Duquesne +5.5 146.9 73% 81–70 ✗
Georgetown @ Villanova +9.6 142.2 82% 48–80 ✓
Delaware State @ North Carolina Central +10.5 135.7 85% 59–89 ✓
LSU @ Georgia -1.0 139.7 46% 72–67 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Florida International -2.1 144.3 42% 81–76 ✓
Minnesota @ Nebraska +7.6 138.1 78% 78–75 ✗
Stanford @ Utah +1.6 135.9 57% 73–62 ✗
Texas Southern @ Alcorn State +3.5 140.8 68% 66–62 ✗
UTSA @ Rice +4.7 158.4 70% 71–72 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Rider +5.3 129.0 70% 70–62 ✗
Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State +1.3 137.6 55% 49–57 ✓
Virginia Tech @ NC State +2.4 146.7 58% 77–97 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Montana State +5.5 141.6 73% 78–85 ✓
Oregon State @ Arizona State +9.3 129.9 81% 57–63 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Toledo +10.6 157.6 85% 75–91 ✓
Davidson @ VCU +5.3 134.8 72% 53–71 ✓
St. John's @ Marquette +8.1 157.6 79% 70–72 ✓
Wake Forest @ Miami +4.3 155.3 69% 72–74 ✓
Rutgers @ Michigan -0.3 132.5 49% 62–50 ✓
Iowa State @ Baylor +2.0 132.0 57% 78–72 ✗
East Carolina @ South Florida +1.6 139.6 58% 73–58 ✗
Mississippi State @ Florida -0.9 131.3 45% 69–68 ✓
Ohio @ Ball State -1.8 149.6 43% 90–70 ✓
George Mason @ Saint Louis +2.3 140.3 58% 54–82 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Duke +4.0 138.3 63% 69–96 ✓
Ohio State @ Iowa +1.3 154.4 55% 73–69 ✗
Colorado @ UCLA +9.5 133.2 82% 69–80 ✓
Providence @ UConn +7.2 149.1 75% 66–73 ✓
Colorado State @ San Diego State +8.7 137.2 80% 61–64 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Jackson State -1.8 133.9 42% 60–62 ✗
SMU @ UCF +9.3 139.2 82% 70–76 ✓
California Baptist @ Sam Houston +8.3 126.2 79% 51–64 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Irvine +9.5 127.8 82% 51–75 ✓
West Virginia @ Kansas +2.3 146.2 61% 61–78 ✓
Ole Miss @ Tennessee +13.9 130.2 86% 55–70 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Kent State +10.6 143.4 84% 57–76 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Dayton +8.2 135.7 80% 54–60 ✓
San José State @ Nevada +4.4 131.3 66% 81–77 ✗
Washington State @ Oregon +1.6 134.7 55% 70–75 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Seattle U -1.4 137.5 41% 84–79 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Fullerton +0.0 129.2 52% 60–62 ✓
Morgan State @ Maryland Eastern Shore +3.2 135.8 63% 64–80 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Florida Atlantic +11.6 143.8 85% 51–75 ✓
Penn State @ Illinois +1.8 141.4 57% 79–76 ✗
Buffalo @ Akron +4.6 146.7 70% 77–101 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.