They headed down to old El Paso; thats's where they ran into a great big hassle. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
Sam Houston Bearkats
64 – 51
FINAL Neutral Conference Hercules Tires WAC
California Baptist Lancers
Western Athletic Conference · Orleans Arena (Neutral) · March 9, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SHSU -6.0 Home covered
O/U 124.0 Under
Money SHSU -267 / CBU +215
Model Predictions
Spread Total SHSU win
Actual SHSU +13 115 Won
Massey SHSU -8.0 (+5.0) — —
Massey Totals — 118.3 (-3.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 86% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 86% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SHSU -7.4 (+5.6) 125.4 (-10.4) 78% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SHSU -6.7 (+6.3) 125.5 (-10.5) 78% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SHSU -8.3 (+4.7) 126.2 (-11.2) 79% ✓
Baseline ML SHSU -7.9 (+5.1) 125.1 (-10.1) 81% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 24, 2023 SHSU 56 – 45 CBU
Mar 10, 2022 SHSU 65 – 35 CBU
Jan 27, 2022 SHSU 73 – 68 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SHSU CBU
Overall 26-8 17-16
Conference 14-4 8-10
Home 12-1 13-5
Away 10-6 4-8
Neutral 4-1 1-3
Last 5 5-0 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.7 66.8
Avg Pts Against 61.7 65.9
Massey 8.6 (#68) 0.6 (#159)
Bradley-Terry 1.77 (#46) -0.08 (#179)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.85 (#61) 0.07 (#164)
RPI 0.579 (#45) 0.466 (#254)
Shooting & Four Factors SHSU CBU
FG% 43.9% 42.2%
3PT% 39.2% 33.1%
REB / G 34.8 36.4
OREB / G 10.4 10.4
AST / TO 0.87 1.11
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 49.3%
TOV% 20.6% 18.0%
ORB% 31.0% 29.2%
FT Rate 22.4% 20.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.9% 47.6%
Opp TOV% 23.8% 16.0%
DRB% 74.3% 74.0%
Opp FT Rate 27.5% 21.0%

Game Analysis

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