Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +5 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | CBU -1.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -0.2 (-4.8) | 138.6 (+2.4) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -0.8 (-4.2) | 136.3 (+4.7) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -0.4 (-5.4) | 139.1 (+1.9) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -0.3 (-5.3) | 141.2 (-0.2) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2023 | SHSU 64 – 51 CBU |
| Feb 24, 2023 | SHSU 56 – 45 CBU |
| Mar 10, 2022 | SHSU 65 – 35 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-9 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 65.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 64.3 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#220) | -0.6 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#189) | -0.16 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#200) | -0.31 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#218) | 0.498 (#173) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | SHSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 13.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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