Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Western Athletic Conference · Bernard G. Johnson Coliseum · February 24, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SHSU -6.5 Home covered
O/U 127.5 Under
Money SHSU -275 / CBU +210
Model Predictions
Spread Total SHSU win
Actual SHSU +11 101 Won
Massey SHSU -11.1 (-0.1) — —
Massey Totals — 123.9 (-22.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 91% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 91% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SHSU -9.4 (+1.6) 130.0 (-29.0) 81% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SHSU -9.0 (+2.0) 126.9 (-25.9) 81% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SHSU -9.3 (+1.7) 129.9 (-28.9) 81% ✓
Baseline ML SHSU -10.0 (+1.0) 129.9 (-28.9) 81% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 9, 2023 SHSU 64 – 51 CBU
Mar 10, 2022 SHSU 65 – 35 CBU
Jan 27, 2022 SHSU 73 – 68 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SHSU CBU
Overall 26-8 17-16
Conference 14-4 8-10
Home 12-1 13-5
Away 10-6 4-8
Neutral 4-1 1-3
Last 5 4-1 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.7 66.8
Avg Pts Against 61.7 65.9
Massey 8.3 (#68) 0.8 (#156)
Bradley-Terry 1.61 (#54) -0.11 (#186)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.70 (#69) 0.09 (#165)
RPI 0.575 (#52) 0.460 (#259)
Shooting & Four Factors SHSU CBU
FG% 44.9% 42.7%
3PT% 40.2% 32.6%
REB / G 33.8 36.6
OREB / G 10.3 10.5
AST / TO 0.89 1.12
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.4% 49.6%
TOV% 20.3% 17.7%
ORB% 31.3% 29.6%
FT Rate 21.4% 19.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.0% 47.5%
Opp TOV% 24.1% 16.4%
DRB% 73.5% 74.1%
Opp FT Rate 26.6% 20.5%

Game Analysis

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