Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | SHSU -160 CBU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +30 | 100 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -2.1 (+27.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (-30.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -2.5 (+27.5) | 132.8 (-32.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -3.3 (+26.7) | 132.4 (-32.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -2.0 (+28.0) | 132.9 (-32.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -2.3 (+27.7) | 132.1 (-32.1) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2023 | SHSU 64 – 51 CBU |
| Feb 24, 2023 | SHSU 56 – 45 CBU |
| Jan 27, 2022 | SHSU 73 – 68 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-2 | 14-5 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.5 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.3 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#158) | -1.9 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#159) | -0.46 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#168) | -0.61 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#138) | 0.471 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 14.9% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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