Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.0 Over |
| Money | RID -285 SPU +228 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +8 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | RID -6.7 (-14.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -5.9 (-13.9) | 128.7 (+3.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -4.0 (-12.0) | 125.1 (+6.9) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -5.3 (-13.3) | 129.0 (+3.0) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RID -5.1 (-13.1) | 130.2 (+1.8) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | RID 81 – 78 SPU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SPU 69 – 58 RID |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SPU 66 – 65 RID |
| Feb 1, 2025 | RID 67 – 64 SPU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SPU 50 – 48 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 7-13 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 8-6 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 65.5 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#191) | -7.8 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#217) | -1.26 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#217) | -1.67 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#189) | 0.444 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 36.9% |
Game Analysis
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