Betting Lines
| Spread | PV -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
| Money | JKST +115 PV -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +2 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | PV -2.7 (+4.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PV -1.5 (+3.5) | 135.4 (-13.4) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PV -1.5 (+3.5) | 134.0 (-12.0) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PV -1.8 (+3.8) | 133.9 (-11.9) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PV -2.2 (+4.2) | 133.1 (-11.1) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | PV 85 – 76 JKST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | JKST 82 – 78 PV |
| Mar 4, 2025 | JKST 88 – 74 PV |
| Jan 18, 2025 | JKST 79 – 70 PV |
| Mar 5, 2024 | JKST 79 – 74 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JKST | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-2 | 9-3 |
| Away | 6-14 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#311) | -5.8 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#282) | -1.35 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#297) | -1.49 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#259) | 0.440 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JKST | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 30.1% |
Game Analysis
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