Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | RICE -278 UTSA +222 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +1 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | RICE -5.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.3 (-15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -4.6 (-3.6) | 156.9 (-13.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -4.8 (-3.8) | 154.8 (-11.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -4.7 (-3.7) | 158.4 (-15.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -3.9 (-2.9) | 158.1 (-15.1) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | RICE 80 – 71 UTSA |
| Jan 15, 2026 | RICE 89 – 73 UTSA |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UTSA 84 – 56 RICE |
| Jan 15, 2025 | UTSA 90 – 84 RICE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | RICE 80 – 76 UTSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 4-16 |
| Home | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#210) | -7.8 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#154) | -0.99 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#167) | -1.32 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#190) | 0.442 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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