Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
| Money | NCCU -650 DSU +460 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +30 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | NCCU -13.4 (+16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (+14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -11.0 (+19.0) | 136.7 (+11.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -10.7 (+19.3) | 133.1 (+14.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -10.5 (+19.5) | 135.7 (+12.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -11.2 (+18.8) | 132.8 (+15.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | NCCU 59 – 53 DSU |
| Feb 28, 2026 | NCCU 74 – 60 DSU |
| Feb 10, 2026 | NCCU 72 – 63 DSU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | NCCU 79 – 77 DSU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | DSU 86 – 84 NCCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCCU | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-12 | 6-24 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 4-10 |
| Home | 13-1 | 4-8 |
| Away | 4-10 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#183) | -14.0 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#181) | -2.17 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#176) | -2.91 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#130) | 0.407 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCCU | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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