Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -14.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | COLG -1100 LAF +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +18 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -12.6 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (+4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -12.4 (+5.6) | 138.8 (+1.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -12.5 (+5.5) | 136.2 (+3.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -12.5 (+5.5) | 139.0 (+1.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -11.3 (+6.7) | 140.0 (+0.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | LAF 70 – 69 COLG |
| Dec 31, 2025 | COLG 85 – 77 LAF |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LAF 76 – 61 COLG |
| Jan 18, 2025 | COLG 90 – 67 LAF |
| Feb 19, 2024 | COLG 67 – 62 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 11-23 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-2 | 5-7 |
| Away | 11-4 | 5-16 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#109) | -4.9 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#123) | -1.38 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#110) | -1.57 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#84) | 0.461 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.3% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 41.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.77 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.4% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 76.1% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.2% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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