They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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27–5 on winners spread MAE 8.1 32 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Binghamton @ Vermont +14.3 140.8 88% 57–79 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Merrimack +2.1 137.4 59% 66–67 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Cleveland State -0.2 131.5 49% 63–61 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Charleston +8.6 141.7 80% 58–63 ✓
Notre Dame @ Virginia Tech +7.8 140.7 79% 64–67 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Fairfield +2.9 128.0 61% 70–52 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Montana +3.0 142.5 65% 83–71 ✗
Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's -0.5 142.3 45% 77–51 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Northwestern State +8.3 149.8 81% 70–74 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Tarleton State +5.3 148.8 70% 70–74 ✓
North Dakota State @ Oral Roberts +9.7 149.6 82% 58–92 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Cal State Bakersfield +2.1 127.0 60% 47–51 ✓
Marist @ Manhattan -0.1 136.0 50% 61–50 ✓
Weber State @ Montana State +4.4 134.1 68% 58–60 ✓
Cal Poly @ Long Beach State +8.1 138.4 80% 88–68 ✗
Utah Tech @ Stephen F. Austin +0.6 148.3 53% 80–76 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Davidson +2.5 136.5 63% 54–65 ✓
Wake Forest @ Syracuse -2.5 152.0 40% 77–74 ✓
Fresno State @ Colorado State +2.0 137.2 58% 65–67 ✓
Richmond @ George Mason +1.0 129.7 57% 57–62 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Pittsburgh +6.5 142.3 75% 81–89 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Grambling +10.7 132.3 84% 72–87 ✓
Colorado @ Washington -3.4 136.8 37% 74–68 ✓
Butler @ St. John's +1.6 141.0 59% 63–76 ✓
Air Force @ UNLV +4.5 133.6 67% 70–78 ✓
Northwestern State @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +2.0 146.8 58% 71–75 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ George Washington -0.1 155.2 50% 87–76 ✓
California @ Washington State +13.4 129.2 86% 52–69 ✓
DePaul @ Seton Hall +8.0 138.0 78% 66–65 ✗
South Carolina State @ Howard +8.0 153.4 81% 55–91 ✓
UTEP @ Western Kentucky +0.2 136.5 51% 67–73 ✓
Ohio State @ Wisconsin -1.1 132.5 47% 65–57 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.