Cal State Bakersfield
Roadrunners
51
–
47
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Big West
Cal State Northridge
Matadors
Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | CSUB -125 CSUN +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +4 | 98 | Won |
| Massey | CSUB -2.5 (+1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 119.3 (-21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -2.3 (+1.7) | 127.6 (-29.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -1.9 (+2.1) | 121.0 (-23.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -2.1 (+1.9) | 127.0 (-29.0) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -2.4 (+1.6) | 126.7 (-28.7) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CSUN 86 – 84 CSUB |
| Dec 5, 2025 | CSUN 87 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 2, 2025 | CSUN 88 – 62 CSUB |
| Jan 12, 2025 | CSUB 94 – 90 CSUN |
| Feb 16, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 71 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 4-16 |
| Home | 6-8 | 7-8 |
| Away | 3-12 | 0-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.3 | 61.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#283) | -9.0 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#300) | -2.23 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#285) | -2.52 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#321) | 0.371 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.8% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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