Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | UVM -1600 BING +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +22 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | UVM -14.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -13.5 (+8.5) | 140.1 (-4.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -15.3 (+6.7) | 137.9 (-1.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -14.3 (+7.7) | 140.8 (-4.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -13.0 (+9.0) | 142.5 (-6.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | UVM 73 – 65 BING |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UVM 60 – 59 BING |
| Jan 30, 2025 | BING 75 – 72 UVM |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UVM 72 – 64 BING |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UVM 62 – 49 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVM | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 8-8 |
| Home | 13-1 | 8-7 |
| Away | 9-6 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#118) | -7.6 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#116) | -1.18 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#131) | -1.77 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#39) | 0.459 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVM | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 19.3% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 78.0% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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