Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
Islanders
75
–
71
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Southland
Northwestern State
Demons
Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | AMCC -155 NWST +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +4 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -1.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -1.9 (+2.1) | 147.6 (-1.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -2.1 (+1.9) | 145.8 (+0.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -2.0 (+2.0) | 146.8 (-0.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -1.9 (+2.1) | 148.4 (-2.4) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | AMCC 71 – 59 NWST |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NWST 79 – 78 AMCC |
| Mar 10, 2025 | NWST 66 – 63 AMCC |
| Jan 14, 2025 | AMCC 73 – 64 NWST |
| Feb 20, 2024 | AMCC 72 – 61 NWST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-7 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#183) | -2.2 (#215) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#189) | 0.22 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#188) | -0.23 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#155) | 0.526 (#129) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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