Cleveland State
Vikings
61
–
63
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Barbasol Horizon League
Northern Kentucky
Norse
Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | CLE +115 NKU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +2 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | NKU -0.2 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.3 (-1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -0.4 (-1.6) | 131.5 (-7.5) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -0.7 (-1.3) | 130.9 (-6.9) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -0.2 (-1.8) | 131.5 (-7.5) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -0.2 (-1.8) | 132.3 (-8.3) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | NKU 81 – 70 CLE |
| Dec 4, 2025 | NKU 95 – 80 CLE |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CLE 68 – 63 NKU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | NKU 85 – 75 CLE |
| Jan 16, 2025 | CLE 76 – 58 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 7-9 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 64.7 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#173) | -0.1 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#161) | 0.15 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#164) | 0.28 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#145) | 0.535 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 34.9% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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