Betting Lines
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
| Money | WKU -150 UTEP +126 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +6 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -0.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -1.1 (+4.9) | 137.8 (+2.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -0.2 (+6.2) | 135.9 (+4.1) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -0.2 (+5.8) | 136.5 (+3.5) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -0.2 (+5.8) | 137.7 (+2.3) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WKU 97 – 65 UTEP |
| Jan 10, 2026 | WKU 68 – 56 UTEP |
| Feb 28, 2025 | WKU 80 – 73 UTEP |
| Jan 31, 2025 | WKU 78 – 74 UTEP |
| Mar 17, 2024 | WKU 78 – 71 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-7 |
| Away | 5-9 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#178) | -1.0 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#156) | -0.12 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#171) | -0.20 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#196) | 0.486 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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