Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | NWST -300 NOLA +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +4 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | NWST -10.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (-6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -8.9 (-4.9) | 148.5 (-4.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -7.7 (-3.7) | 145.7 (-1.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -8.3 (-4.3) | 149.8 (-5.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -9.1 (-5.1) | 150.7 (-6.7) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NOLA 75 – 64 NWST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NWST 74 – 68 NOLA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NWST 73 – 66 NOLA |
| Jan 20, 2025 | NWST 73 – 61 NOLA |
| Feb 13, 2024 | NWST 70 – 59 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-3 | 6-9 |
| Away | 10-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 80.1 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#215) | -12.2 (#344) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#152) | -1.81 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#190) | -2.29 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#129) | 0.426 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 23.5% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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