Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | GRAM -550 BCU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +15 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -12.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (+27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -10.5 (+4.5) | 134.5 (+24.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -9.5 (+5.5) | 132.5 (+26.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -10.7 (+4.3) | 132.3 (+26.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -10.9 (+4.1) | 131.8 (+27.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | BCU 76 – 71 GRAM |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BCU 74 – 65 GRAM |
| Mar 4, 2025 | BCU 78 – 71 GRAM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BCU 65 – 59 GRAM |
| Mar 15, 2024 | GRAM 65 – 53 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 9-6 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#195) | -13.8 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#148) | -1.78 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#147) | -2.35 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#133) | 0.404 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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