Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | ORU -600 NDSU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +34 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -11.8 (+22.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -9.9 (+24.1) | 149.5 (+0.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -8.9 (+25.1) | 148.9 (+1.1) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -9.7 (+24.3) | 149.6 (+0.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -9.4 (+24.6) | 148.1 (+1.9) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | NDSU 76 – 65 ORU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NDSU 86 – 58 ORU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NDSU 79 – 77 ORU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | NDSU 94 – 88 ORU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | NDSU 110 – 96 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-5 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 11-7 |
| Home | 16-0 | 9-4 |
| Away | 11-4 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#51) | -2.0 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.32 (#21) | -0.27 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#32) | -0.40 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.615 (#12) | 0.503 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.0% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 13.1% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 12.3% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 77.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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