Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | SJU -267 BTLR +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +13 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -2.0 (+11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -2.1 (+10.9) | 143.1 (-4.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -3.5 (+9.5) | 140.7 (-1.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -1.6 (+11.4) | 141.0 (-2.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -2.2 (+10.8) | 140.9 (-1.9) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | SJU 92 – 70 BTLR |
| Jan 7, 2026 | SJU 84 – 70 BTLR |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SJU 78 – 57 BTLR |
| Feb 27, 2025 | SJU 76 – 70 BTLR |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SJU 70 – 62 BTLR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 6-14 |
| Home | 11-6 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#93) | 3.8 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#89) | 0.74 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#82) | 0.88 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#170) | 0.504 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 19.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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