Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +36 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | HOW -8.4 (+27.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (-10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -8.0 (+28.0) | 152.2 (-6.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -7.2 (+28.8) | 150.2 (-4.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -8.0 (+28.0) | 153.4 (-7.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -8.4 (+27.6) | 151.2 (-5.2) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | HOW 78 – 61 SCST |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HOW 85 – 57 SCST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | SCST 58 – 57 HOW |
| Mar 4, 2025 | SCST 79 – 69 HOW |
| Feb 4, 2025 | SCST 89 – 66 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 2-12 |
| Home | 12-2 | 4-6 |
| Away | 6-8 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 84.7 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#236) | -12.5 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#179) | -2.10 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#211) | -2.53 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#167) | 0.408 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 57.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 32.0% |
Game Analysis
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