Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | SDSU -550 CSU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +3 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -9.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -7.6 (-4.6) | 136.2 (-11.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -7.8 (-4.8) | 132.8 (-7.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -8.7 (-5.7) | 137.2 (-12.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -7.9 (-4.9) | 136.7 (-11.7) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | SDSU 71 – 62 CSU |
| Feb 21, 2026 | CSU 83 – 74 SDSU |
| Jan 29, 2026 | SDSU 73 – 50 CSU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | CSU 68 – 63 SDSU |
| Jan 15, 2025 | SDSU 75 – 60 CSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-7 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-1 | 9-7 |
| Away | 8-2 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 9-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#20) | 4.2 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#15) | 0.53 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.94 (#18) | 0.63 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.626 (#6) | 0.522 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 5.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 19.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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